El Saucejo: PSOE would keep its majority
El Saucejo (Sevilla, 4,233 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 82%PSOE majority
- 2,643valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 53.7% of the vote (2023: 52.3%)
Majority 82%
COMPROMISO CON EL SAUCEJO±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 34.5%)
Majority 1%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 12.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 52.3% → 53.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- COMPROMISO CON EL SAUCEJOSumar, Podemos and allies 34.5% → 32.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 12.3% → 12.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,643 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.