España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

La Roda de Andalucía: no list would have a majority, PP largest

La Roda de Andalucía (Sevilla, 4,230 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 41.8%) Majority 29%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.7% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 1%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.6% of the vote (2023: 22.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Roda de Andalucía

La Roda de Andalucía is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 4,230 inhabitants, the 71st largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 41.8% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 79.4% of the 3,398 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.8% → 44.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.5% → 33.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 22.9% → 20.6% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,698 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Roda de Andalucía in size, in Sevilla

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