Martín de la Jara: PSOE would keep its majority
Martín de la Jara (Sevilla, 2,643 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 73%PSOE majority
- 1,652valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Martín de la Jara
Martín de la Jara is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 2,643 inhabitants, the 85th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 5. 76.6% of the 2,157 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 48.5% → 50.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 42.7% → 41.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 6.9% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,652 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.