Castilleja de Guzmán: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Castilleja de Guzmán (Sevilla, 2,866 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 64%PSOE-A majority
- 1,532valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 48.4% of the vote (2023: 51.6%)
Majority 64%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 25.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 8.1%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 13.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 51.6% → 48.4% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 25.9% → 25.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.1% → 14.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 13.0% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,532 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.