Guadalcanal: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Guadalcanal (Sevilla, 2,589 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 95%no list with a majority
- 1,545valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 37.5%)
Majority 5%
PSOE-A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 32.7%)
Majority 0%
XG±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 29.7% of the vote (2023: 27.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 37.5% → 38.0% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 32.7% → 30.1% 4 → 3 councillors
- XGLocal lists 27.6% → 29.7% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,545 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Guadalcanal in size, in Sevilla
- Marinaleda2,579 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Pruna2,563 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Carrión de los Céspedes2,562 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Martín de la Jara2,643 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Palmar de Troya2,343 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Castilleja de Guzmán2,866 inhabitants · 11 councillors