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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Sevilla

Guadalcanal: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Guadalcanal (Sevilla, 2,589 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 37.5%) Majority 5%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 32.7%) Majority 0%
XG±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.7% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Guadalcanal

Guadalcanal is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 2,589 inhabitants, the 86th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.5% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE-A was second with 4. 71.7% of the 2,155 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.5% → 38.0% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 32.7% → 30.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. XGLocal lists 27.6% → 29.7% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,545 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Guadalcanal in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →