Martín de la Jara: PSOE would keep its majority
Martín de la Jara (Sevilla, 2,643 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 73%PSOE majority
- 1,652valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 50.1% of the vote (2023: 48.5%)
Majority 73%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 41.4% of the vote (2023: 42.7%)
Majority 20%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 48.5% → 50.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 42.7% → 41.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 6.9% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,652 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.