Marinaleda: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
Marinaleda (Sevilla, 2,579 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 66%CON ANDALUCÍA majority
- 1,891valid votes in 2023 (89% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 50.7% of the vote (2023: 56.6%)
Majority 66%
A.M.A.±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 42.0%)
Majority 34%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 56.6% → 50.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- A.M.A.Local lists 42.0% → 45.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 0.3% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 0.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,891 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Marinaleda in size, in Sevilla
- Guadalcanal2,589 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Pruna2,563 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Carrión de los Céspedes2,562 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Martín de la Jara2,643 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Palmar de Troya2,343 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Castilleja de Guzmán2,866 inhabitants · 11 councillors