Marchena: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Marchena (Sevilla, 19,264 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 55%PSOE-A majority
- 9,632valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 45.7% of the vote (2023: 49.3%)
Majority 55%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 26.3%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 7.7%)
Majority 0%
UXM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.5% of the vote (2023: 9.1%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCIA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 49.3% → 45.7% 9 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 26.3% → 25.8% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 7.7% → 13.8% 1 → 2 councillors
- UXMLocal lists 9.1% → 9.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,632 valid votes including 81 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Marchena in size, in Sevilla
- El Viso del Alcor19,161 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Arahal19,476 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Lora del Río18,417 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Osuna17,442 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Castilleja de la Cuesta17,230 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- San Juan de Aznalfarache22,138 inhabitants · 21 councillors