Arahal: no list would have a majority, CON ANDALUCIA largest
Arahal (Sevilla, 19,476 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 88%no list with a majority
- 10,026valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CON ANDALUCIA−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 42.5%)
Majority 12%
PSOE-A±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 31.2%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 19.2% of the vote (2023: 18.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 1.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 42.5% → 39.0% 8 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.2% → 29.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 18.9% → 19.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 1.8% → 6.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.9% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,026 valid votes including 179 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Arahal in size, in Sevilla
- Marchena19,264 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- El Viso del Alcor19,161 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Lora del Río18,417 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Osuna17,442 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Castilleja de la Cuesta17,230 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- San Juan de Aznalfarache22,138 inhabitants · 21 councillors