Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Osuna: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Osuna (Sevilla, 17,442 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 47.7%) Majority 40%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 26.7%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 4.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.7% → 45.4% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.7% → 26.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 19.7% → 16.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.6% → 9.8% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,816 valid votes including 125 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Osuna in size, in Sevilla

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