Mairena del Aljarafe: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Mairena del Aljarafe (Sevilla, 47,161 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 21,367valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 33.7%)
Majority 1%
PSOE-A−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 35.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 10.0%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 13.4%)
Majority 0%
MRDC±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.9% of the vote (2023: 5.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 33.7% → 33.2% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 35.6% → 32.2% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 10.0% → 16.6% 2 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 13.4% → 10.4% 3 → 2 councillors
- MRDCLocal lists 5.6% → 5.9% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 21,367 valid votes including 362 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.