Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Lora del Río: PP would keep its majority

Lora del Río (Sevilla, 18,417 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 44.3%) Majority 68%
PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 31.7% of the vote (2023: 33.8%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 2.6%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.3% → 45.8% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 33.8% → 31.7% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.6% → 7.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.4% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. P.S.L.ILocal lists 3.3% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. C.C.L.Sumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,141 valid votes including 104 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lora del Río in size, in Sevilla

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