La Rinconada: PSOE-A would keep its majority
La Rinconada (Sevilla, 39,509 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE-A majority
- 17,220valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Rinconada
La Rinconada is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 39,509 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 70.8% of the vote and 16 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 55% of the 31,293 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 16 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 70.8% → 68.0% 16 → 16 councillors
- VOXVox 6.6% → 12.5% 1 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 11.3% → 10.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 7.2% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,220 valid votes including 262 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.