Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Puebla del Río: DELAPUEBLA would win a majority

La Puebla del Río (Sevilla, 11,855 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

DELAPUEBLA+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 43.2% of the vote (2023: 41.6%) Majority 42%
PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 27.2%) Majority 0%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 58% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Puebla del Río

La Puebla del Río is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 11,855 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 DELAPUEBLA came first with 41.6% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE-A was second with 5. 64.7% of the 9,373 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps DELAPUEBLA on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 42% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. DELAPUEBLALocal lists 41.6% → 43.2% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 27.2% → 23.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.1% → 14.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.0% → 10.0% 0 → 2 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.8% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. UALocal lists 3.7% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,064 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Puebla del Río in size, in Sevilla

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