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Brenes: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Brenes (Sevilla, 12,652 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 72.4% of the vote (2023: 73.7%) Majority over 99%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 2.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Brenes

Brenes is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 12,652 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 73.7% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 3. 63.8% of the 9,562 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 73.7% → 72.4% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 16.0% → 13.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.6% → 7.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 6.8% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,103 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Brenes in size, in Sevilla

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