La Luisiana: U.L.L.Y.C. would win a majority
La Luisiana (Sevilla, 4,588 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 2,916valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
U.L.L.Y.C.+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 40.9%)
Majority 49%
CON ANDALUCIA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 28.7%)
Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 22.0%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 7.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- U.L.L.Y.C.Local lists 40.9% → 45.8% 5 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 28.7% → 25.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 22.0% → 20.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 7.4% → 6.9% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,916 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Luisiana in size, in Sevilla
- Villamanrique de la Condesa4,580 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Aznalcázar4,664 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Cazalla de la Sierra4,700 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Coronil4,720 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villanueva del Río y Minas4,934 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Saucejo4,233 inhabitants · 11 councillors