Isla Mayor: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Isla Mayor (Sevilla, 5,767 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE-A majority
- 2,363valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Isla Mayor
Isla Mayor is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 5,767 inhabitants, the 58th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 71.2% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 3. 51.4% of the 4,593 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 71.2% → 70.0% 10 → 10 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 19.7% → 16.9% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.1% → 8.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,363 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.