España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Dos Hermanas: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Dos Hermanas (Sevilla, 137,561 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
15 councillors (2023: 16) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 50.7%) Majority 67%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+3
6 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Dos Hermanas

Dos Hermanas is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 137,561 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 50.7% of the vote and 16 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 51.8% of the 107,940 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 15 seats, a majority, which it holds in 67% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 50.7% → 46.6% 16 → 15 councillors
  2. PPPP 21.8% → 21.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.3% → 18.4% 3 → 6 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 7.1% → 4.7% 2 → 0 councillors
  5. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PCPALocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 55,863 valid votes including 807 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Dos Hermanas in size, in Sevilla

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