Dos Hermanas: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Dos Hermanas (Sevilla, 137,561 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 67%PSOE-A majority
- 55,863valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Dos Hermanas
Dos Hermanas is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 137,561 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 50.7% of the vote and 16 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 51.8% of the 107,940 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 15 seats, a majority, which it holds in 67% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 50.7% → 46.6% 16 → 15 councillors
- PPPP 21.8% → 21.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 11.3% → 18.4% 3 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 7.1% → 4.7% 2 → 0 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCPALocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 55,863 valid votes including 807 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Dos Hermanas in size, in Sevilla
- Alcalá de Guadaíra75,917 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Utrera51,402 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Mairena del Aljarafe47,161 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Écija39,743 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- La Rinconada39,509 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Los Palacios y Villafranca38,662 inhabitants · 21 councillors