Carmona: PP would keep its majority
Carmona (Sevilla, 29,279 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 12,732valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carmona
Carmona is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 29,279 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 66.4% of the vote and 15 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 53.4% of the 23,865 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 15 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 66.4% → 67.1% 15 → 15 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 18.3% → 15.5% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 3.9% → 8.7% 0 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 10.3% → 7.7% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,732 valid votes including 134 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.