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Cantillana: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Cantillana (Sevilla, 10,751 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 33.4% of the vote (2023: 35.7%) Majority 1%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 28.9%) Majority under 1%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
AND±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 2.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cantillana

Cantillana is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 10,751 inhabitants, the 37th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 35.7% of the vote and 7 seats; PP was second with 5. 61.7% of the 8,072 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 6 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 35.7% → 33.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.9% → 29.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 23.7% → 20.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. ANDLocal lists 7.8% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.6% → 7.1% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,983 valid votes including 66 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cantillana in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →