Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alcalá del Río: no list would have a majority, CON ANDALUCÍA largest

Alcalá del Río (Sevilla, 12,315 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCÍA−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 42.1%) Majority 10%
PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 24.8% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 23.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 4.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Alcalá del Río

Alcalá del Río is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 12,315 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CON ANDALUCÍA came first with 42.1% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE-A was second with 5. 67.2% of the 9,505 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CON ANDALUCÍA would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 42.1% → 38.1% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 26.8% → 24.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 23.1% → 23.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.7% → 10.2% 0 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. M.C.R.Local lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,389 valid votes including 61 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcalá del Río in size, in Sevilla

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