Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Lastrilla: PP would keep its majority

La Lastrilla (Segovia, 4,348 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 53.1% of the vote (2023: 53.9%) Majority 95%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 20.5%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%
UNIDOS X LA LASTRILLA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Lastrilla

La Lastrilla is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 4,348 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 53.9% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 66.3% of the 3,205 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.9% → 53.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 20.5% → 17.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.7% → 14.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. UNIDOS X LA LASTRILLALocal lists 8.3% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 7.4% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,126 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Lastrilla in size, in Segovia

Every municipality in Segovia → · All of Spain →