Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cantalejo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cantalejo (Segovia, 3,461 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 39.6%) Majority 3%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 17.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cantalejo

Cantalejo is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 3,461 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.2% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 4. 71.5% of the 2,489 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.6% → 37.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.2% → 36.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 17.2% → 25.0% 2 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,779 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cantalejo in size, in Segovia

Every municipality in Segovia → · All of Spain →