Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Victoria de Acentejo: PSOE would keep its majority

La Victoria de Acentejo (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 9,170 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE+1
10 councillors (2023: 9) · 64.2% of the vote (2023: 65.5%) Majority over 99%
CCA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 65.5% → 64.2% 9 → 10 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 19.9% → 17.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.1% → 9.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.6% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. NC-FACLocal lists 2.1% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,588 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Victoria de Acentejo in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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