San Sebastián de la Gomera: ASG would win a majority
San Sebastián de la Gomera (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 9,342 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 61%ASG majority
- 5,068valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About San Sebastián de la Gomera
San Sebastián de la Gomera is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 9,342 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ASG came first with 42.5% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 70.4% of the 7,201 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ASG on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ASGLocal lists 42.5% → 44.1% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.0% → 27.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- IXLGLocal lists 10.5% → 10.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- CCACoalición Canaria 8.0% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.9% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 5.2% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,068 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near San Sebastián de la Gomera in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- La Victoria de Acentejo9,170 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- La Matanza de Acentejo9,054 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- El Sauzal9,005 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Arico8,754 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- El Paso7,901 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Santiago del Teide11,162 inhabitants · 17 councillors
Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →