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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Garafía: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Garafía (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 1,830 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 22%
PSOE+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 36.9%) Majority 8%
CCA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Garafía

Garafía is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 1,830 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.4% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 66.1% of the 1,409 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.4% → 39.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.9% → 36.0% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 19.4% → 17.2% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. NC-FACLocal lists 5.2% → 5.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 932 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Garafía in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →