Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Garachico: no list would have a majority, CCA largest

Garachico (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 4,920 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CCA±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 45.1%) Majority 14%
A'GARA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 33.4%) Majority 6%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 80% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CCACoalición Canaria 45.1% → 39.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. A'GARALocal lists 33.4% → 36.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 18.1% → 16.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.3% → 6.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,927 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Garachico in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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