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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

El Paso: CCA would keep its majority

El Paso (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 7,901 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CCA±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 66.2% of the vote (2023: 70.4%) Majority over 99%
PP+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Paso

El Paso is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 7,901 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CCA came first with 70.4% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 70.7% of the 6,100 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CCA on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CCACoalición Canaria 70.4% → 66.2% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 13.6% → 14.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 13.8% → 12.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.1% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,315 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Paso in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →