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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Agulo: ASG would keep its majority

Agulo (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 1,085 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ASG+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 82.5% of the vote (2023: 78.9%) Majority over 99%
CCA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 20.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Agulo

Agulo is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 1,085 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ASG came first with 78.9% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CCA was second with 2. 76.1% of the 988 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ASG on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ASGLocal lists 78.9% → 82.5% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 20.3% → 16.7% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 752 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Agulo in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →