Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Adeje: PSOE would keep its majority

Adeje (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 49,270 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 53.0% of the vote (2023: 54.0%) Majority 93%
CCA−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
USP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.2% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Adeje

Adeje is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 49,270 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 54% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; CCA was second with 5. 41.1% of the 25,811 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 93% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.0% → 53.0% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 22.6% → 19.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.7% → 13.1% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 7.6% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 4.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. +CLocal lists 1.6% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,599 valid votes including 117 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Adeje in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →