Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Granadilla de Abona: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Granadilla de Abona (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 52,447 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 9%
CCA−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 36.9% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 35.2% → 31.0% 10 → 9 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.1% → 13.8% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. PPPP 9.2% → 8.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. AV-GDALocal lists 4.0% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. DVCLocal lists 2.9% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,736 valid votes including 194 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Granadilla de Abona in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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