Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Granadilla de Abona: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Granadilla de Abona (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 52,447 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 9%
CCA−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Granadilla de Abona

Granadilla de Abona is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 52,447 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 37.9% of the vote and 11 seats; CCA was second with 10. 47.8% of the 34,990 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 10 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 36.9% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 35.2% → 31.0% 10 → 9 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.1% → 13.8% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. PPPP 9.2% → 8.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. AV-GDALocal lists 4.0% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. DVCLocal lists 2.9% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,736 valid votes including 194 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Granadilla de Abona in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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