Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Terradillos: no list would have a majority, I.U. largest

Terradillos (Salamanca, 3,094 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

I.U.−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.9% of the vote (2023: 50.5%) Majority 55%
PP+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 30.1%) Majority 1%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 18.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Terradillos

Terradillos is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 3,094 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 I.U. came first with 50.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 58.7% of the 2,431 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: I.U. would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 50.5% → 48.9% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.1% → 32.8% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 18.8% → 17.6% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,427 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Terradillos in size, in Salamanca

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