Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cabrerizos: PP would keep its majority

Cabrerizos (Salamanca, 4,276 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 52.5%) Majority 84%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.5% of the vote (2023: 29.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 10.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 16% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.5% → 50.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.7% → 25.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.7% → 16.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 5.4% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,297 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabrerizos in size, in Salamanca

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