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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Salamanca

Cabrerizos: PP would keep its majority

Cabrerizos (Salamanca, 4,276 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 52.5%) Majority 84%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.5% of the vote (2023: 29.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 10.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 16% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cabrerizos

Cabrerizos is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 4,276 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 52.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 67.7% of the 3,393 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 84% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.5% → 50.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.7% → 25.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.7% → 16.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 5.4% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,297 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabrerizos in size, in Salamanca

Every municipality in Salamanca → · All of Spain →