Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Salceda de Caselas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Salceda de Caselas (Pontevedra, 9,380 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 45.7%) Majority 37%
MS+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 32.0%) Majority 1%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Salceda de Caselas

Salceda de Caselas is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 9,380 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 45.7% of the vote and 6 seats; MS was second with 4. 72.5% of the 7,277 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.7% → 44.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. MSLocal lists 32.0% → 32.9% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 14.7% → 11.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. B.N.G.BNG 6.6% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,275 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Salceda de Caselas in size, in Pontevedra

Every municipality in Pontevedra → · All of Spain →