A Guarda: no list would have a majority, PP largest
A Guarda (Pontevedra, 10,013 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 92%no list with a majority
- 5,552valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About A Guarda
A Guarda is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 10,013 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 42.6% of the vote and 8 seats; B.N.G. was second with 5. 68% of the 8,168 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.6% → 37.6% 8 → 7 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 26.5% → 37.1% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 21.2% → 16.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- ESCOLocal lists 8.4% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,552 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.