Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

O Rosal: B.N.G. would win a majority

O Rosal (Pontevedra, 6,450 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 55.5% of the vote (2023: 43.0%) Majority 90%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 44.1%) Majority 1%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About O Rosal

O Rosal is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 6,450 inhabitants, the 30th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44.1% of the vote and 6 seats; B.N.G. was second with 6. 69.2% of the 5,469 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps B.N.G. on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 90% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 43.0% → 55.5% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 44.1% → 36.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 12.0% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,785 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near O Rosal in size, in Pontevedra

Every municipality in Pontevedra → · All of Spain →