Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Soutomaior: BNG would win a majority

Soutomaior (Pontevedra, 7,543 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

BNG+2
8 councillors (2023: 6) · 60.0% of the vote (2023: 47.5%) Majority 99%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 43.2%) Majority 1%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. BNGBNG 47.5% → 60.0% 6 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 43.2% → 34.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 8.5% → 4.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,520 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Soutomaior in size, in Pontevedra

Every municipality in Pontevedra → · All of Spain →