Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

O Rosal: B.N.G. would win a majority

O Rosal (Pontevedra, 6,450 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 55.5% of the vote (2023: 43.0%) Majority 90%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 44.1%) Majority 1%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 43.0% → 55.5% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 44.1% → 36.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 12.0% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,785 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near O Rosal in size, in Pontevedra

Every municipality in Pontevedra → · All of Spain →