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Cangas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cangas (Pontevedra, 26,832 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 43.6%) Majority 19%
BNG+3
9 councillors (2023: 6) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 25.8%) Majority 10%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
AV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
EU−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.6% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cangas

Cangas is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 26,832 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 43.6% of the vote and 10 seats; BNG was second with 6. 60.5% of the 22,396 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.6% → 40.1% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. BNGBNG 25.8% → 37.5% 6 → 9 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 14.1% → 10.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. AVLocal lists 6.4% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. EUSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. C&ULocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,550 valid votes including 204 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cangas in size, in Pontevedra

Every municipality in Pontevedra → · All of Spain →