Marín: PP would keep its majority
Marín (Pontevedra, 24,034 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 64%PP majority
- 11,427valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
11
councillors (2023: 12) · 49.4% of the vote (2023: 55.3%)
Majority 64%
BNG+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 17.4%)
Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 22.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 3.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.3% → 49.4% 12 → 11 councillors
- BNGBNG 17.4% → 24.5% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 22.2% → 17.2% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 3.7% → 7.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,427 valid votes including 161 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.