Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Marín: PP would keep its majority

Marín (Pontevedra, 24,034 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 49.4% of the vote (2023: 55.3%) Majority 64%
BNG+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 17.4%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 3.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 55.3% → 49.4% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. BNGBNG 17.4% → 24.5% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 22.2% → 17.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.7% → 7.5% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,427 valid votes including 161 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Marín in size, in Pontevedra

Every municipality in Pontevedra → · All of Spain →