Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cangas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cangas (Pontevedra, 26,832 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 43.6%) Majority 19%
BNG+3
9 councillors (2023: 6) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 25.8%) Majority 10%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
AV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
EU−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.6% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.6% → 40.1% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. BNGBNG 25.8% → 37.5% 6 → 9 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 14.1% → 10.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. AVLocal lists 6.4% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. EUSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. C&ULocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,550 valid votes including 204 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cangas in size, in Pontevedra

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