Baiona: PP would keep its majority
Baiona (Pontevedra, 12,349 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 7,089valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Baiona
Baiona is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 12,349 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 56.3% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 5. 68.5% of the 10,347 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.3% → 54.1% 11 → 10 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 28.1% → 24.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 8.5% → 12.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,089 valid votes including 104 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.