Baiona: PP would keep its majority
Baiona (Pontevedra, 12,349 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 7,089valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
10
councillors (2023: 11) · 54.1% of the vote (2023: 56.3%)
Majority 91%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 28.1%)
Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 8.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 2.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.3% → 54.1% 11 → 10 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 28.1% → 24.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 8.5% → 12.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,089 valid votes including 104 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.