Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Velilla del Río Carrión: PP would keep its majority

Velilla del Río Carrión (Palencia, 1,173 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.7% of the vote (2023: 52.3%) Majority 87%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.4% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 5%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.3% → 51.7% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.1% → 33.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. RLocal lists 7.5% → 7.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.9% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 857 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Velilla del Río Carrión in size, in Palencia

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