Osorno la Mayor: VOX would win a majority
Osorno la Mayor (Palencia, 1,159 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 90%VOX majority
- 735valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 55.1% of the vote (2023: 45.3%)
Majority 90%
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 38.6%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 14.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 45.3% → 55.1% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 38.6% → 33.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 14.4% → 10.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 735 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Osorno la Mayor in size, in Palencia
- Velilla del Río Carrión1,173 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Barruelo de Santullán1,203 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Baltanás1,206 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Astudillo1,031 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Magaz de Pisuerga1,010 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Santibáñez de la Peña978 inhabitants · 7 councillors