Astudillo: PP would keep its majority
Astudillo (Palencia, 1,031 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 93%PP majority
- 725valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 52.0% of the vote (2023: 51.0%)
Majority 93%
PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 26.2%)
Majority 0%
I.A+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 16.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.0% → 52.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 26.2% → 23.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- I.ALocal lists 16.4% → 17.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 5.0% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 725 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.