España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Santibáñez de la Peña: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santibáñez de la Peña (Palencia, 978 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 13%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 27.9%) Majority 0%
GITV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.3% → 35.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.0% → 24.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 27.9% → 23.3% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. GITVLocal lists 11.9% → 11.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. EVLocal lists 4.0% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 648 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santibáñez de la Peña in size, in Palencia

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